Monday, August 10, 2009

MLB Picks- 8/10

I will judge all of my games on a unit scale with 1 being the lowest and 5 being the highest. I wont actually tell you how much money i am betting, but will let you know how confident i am on each and every game. I also will not just bet games to bet games, some days i will like 5 games and some days i will only like 1. When betting baseball i always try to find value so im not going to be betting heavy favorites unless i want to test out the run line.


Todays Picks-

LA Dodgers @ San Francisco Giants- This was the first game that jumped at me today for several reasons. First off the Giants have been playing pretty decent baseball lately winning 5 of their last 8 games while the Dodgers have dropped 3 of their last 4. I also think Sanchez is finally turning into a more consistent pitcher as his ERA continues to drop. Sanchez has won 2 of his last 3 starts with an ERA of 3.57 during that span. He is also dramatically better at home then on the Road. His home ERA sits at 3.26 and his road is 5.53, so you can see he is way more comfortable in front of the home crowd.
~ Giants +106 Bet 3 units to win 3.18

Oakland A's @ Baltimore Orioles- This will be a small play for me, but it has great value. Gio Gonzalez, the former top prospect for the White Sox, has been finally putting everything together lately. He is 2-0 with a 1.93 ERA in his last three starts, and has been overpowering at the plate striking out at least 6 in those starts. On the other hand Guthrie has been struggling mightily on the bump. His ERA is over 6 in his last three starts, and over 5 for the season. Also the A's have won 5 of their last 7 while the Orioles have dropped five of their last seven. With these kind of value its hard to lay off.
~ A's +155 Bet 1 Unit to win 1.55

Also had a small lean on the NYY/Tor game, and the Angels but decided to lay off.

1 comment:

  1. Nice Pick in going with the Giants they are a lock tonight!!

    ReplyDelete