Wednesday, August 12, 2009

MLB Picks 8/12~


Yesterday's Recap- I had a great day yesterday going 3-1 and picking up 5.46 units. I was able to rebound from the other days loss and get back up 4.01 units on the year with a total record of 4-2. My play of the day did hit rather easily as i hit the over before the 5th inning!

Looks like a nice slate of action today, thrown in with some "something to do at work games".

Toronto Blue Jays @ New York Yankees- I really didnt have a strong lean on this game, but when i checked in on the under it looked good. Both of these pitchers have been pitching pretty well lately with Romero winning 2 of his last 3 starts, and Burnett has also been good posting a 3.26 ERA on the season. The Yankees have been under the total four of the last five games, and i think that should continue. The only thing that worries me is Romero, but i think he should have a nice day. Hopefully we get a day game "getaway" lineup as well.
~ Under 9.5; Bet 2.2 units to win 2

Oakland Athletics @ Baltimore Orioles- When i first glanced at this one the over scared me because of how high the total was, but then i crunched some numbers and loved it! Mazzaro started this season hot after his call up, but has been god awfull since. He is 3-8 on the year with a 5.70 ERA, and to make it worse has a 9.00 ERA in his last three starts. Berken has actually been worse!! He is holding a 2-9 record with a 6.72 ERA on the season, and has over a 7 ERA in his last three starts. Both teams have been going over the total with the A's going over 5 of their last 6 and the Orioles doing it in 4 of their last 6. This game should go WAY over the total.
~ Over 10.5; Bet 3.3 units to win 3

LA Dodgers @ San Francisco Giants- This game is simple, its because of the pitching. The Dodgers are throwing Jeff Weaver today who has been bounched around more than a basketball this season. He has been back and forth from the roation to the bullpen all year long. He hasnt had a bad year, but cant keep up with Timmy! Cy Tim is 2-0 with an 0.75 ERA in his last three starts, and seems to be getting better every game. Dont worry about the Giants beat up bullpen with Tim on the mound, he loves finishing his games. I dont see the Dodgers sweeping this one in San Fran.
~ Giants -1.5 (+105); Bet 2 Units to win 2.1

San Diego Padres @ Milwaukee Brewers- This game kind of snuck up on me once i looked at the starting pitchers home/away splits. Villanueva is absolutely awful at home this year. He has a very solid 2.86 ERA on the road with an abysmal 10.80 Home ERA. That is almost an 8 run diffrence!! San Diego has been playing a little better as of late, and the offence has been clicking. Hopefully they can put some runs up for Kevin Correria who has a 2.45 ERA in his last three starts. The Brewers have also been slumping dropping 4 of their last 6 games.
~ Padres + 130, Bet 2 units to win 2.6

Good Luck and Good Night!

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