Im very excited for this weekend after a dominated last weekend! I hope you dont miss out on this dog day as some under dogs might be making some noise. This has been a crazy year so far, and im smelling something staright NASTY for this weekend. Once again if you want me to cap a game that i have not listed, justt let me know and i will write it up. Without further a due....the winners baby!
Michigan @ Michigan State (-3.5)- We shall call this game... "What the Fuck are they Thinking"
Ok so let me get this straight. We have two teams from the same conference, one of them is 4-0 and one of them is 1-3. Now lets say the 4-0 team has won three straight games in the 1-3 teams stadium. Now lets say the 4-0 has covered the spread 3 of their last 4 games, and the 1-3 team has only covered 1 of their last 5. Well this is why i call this the "What the Fuck are they Thinking" game, the 1-3 team is a 3.5 point favorite. Ive never been so confused about a line in my life, some people call this a trap game, but when the spread goes 4.5 points in the wrong direction i call it easy money. On op of this Michigan State is 1-4 ATS in thier last five at home. Mind Boggling!!! BIG PLAY Michigan (+3.5)
North Carolina State @ Wake Forest (-2.5)- We shall call this game... "Keeping a Trend"
I say keeping a trend because the home team has covered the spread in 8 of 10 in this series. I love this game for a bunch of reasons first of all, Russell Wilson is not as good as everyone thinks he is. He sucked vs. the only good defense he played and then ran up the school against some blind teams. Way to drop 65 on Murray State! Wake Forest is coming off a very tough loss that they gave away on the last play of the game last week. Riley Skinner is a fierce competitor, and will not lose this game in his house. Wake Forest is 5-1 ATS in their last 5 home games, and they are also 11-2 ATS following a loss. Look for a nice easy, comfortable home win for Riley Skinner and crew. Wake Forest (-2.5)
LSU @ UGA (-2.5)- We shall call this game... " What the Fuck am I thinking"
For some reason i keep betting on UGA, and they keep kicking me in the ass. Im not just talking about this year, but every fucking year. The funny thing about it is, i hate UGA and they are one of my least favorite teams to cheer for. From what ive noticed this spread has drastically changed since i took it at 2.5. Normally this is an awfull thing as the public is on my side, but we shall see. All the facts point to a big let down game for the Tigers. LSU has lost 3 of their last 4 games ATS, and are 1-7 ATS follwing a straight up win. They are also 1-4 ATS in their last 5 as dogs. Sorry for all the numbers, but you know me! Joe Cox looks suprisingly better with every game, and he might actually be able to steer this UGA team to a nice bowl game. UGA beat LSU 52-38 in Baton Rouge last year, and they are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 as a home team.
UGA (-2.5)
Georiga Tech @ Mississippi State (+5.5)- We shall call this game..." Revenge smells like Money"
As we all know GT can not throw the ball, and they wont even really try to throw the ball. This is why its very easy to gameplan for a team like this. Mississippi State knows whats coming, and they can prepare for it just like Miami did. Im sick of this Georgia Tech team fooling me on games, i think i finally got them figured out. One thing ive noticed is that they rarely play two great games in a row, especially with one on the road. They are also 1-5 ATS following a win. They have lost 3 of their last 4 ATS and are 3-10 as a 3-10 poing underdog. On the other side Miss. St has looked great, despite their record. They really impressed me last week vs LSU. Their defense looked strong, and the offense moved the ball with ease. They are ready to redeem themselves after an embarrasing lost to GT last year. They are 6-0 ATS as a home dog, and 5-0 ATS in home games. Mississippi State (+5.5)
Oklahoma @ Miami (+7.5)- We shall call this game... "This isnt Idaho St or Tulsa Landry"
This will be a great game and i dont care what the spread is. In miami with Bradford out, this is an even matchup in my mind. So when i see a game i consider even at 7.5, i pee in my pants. I know Landry Jones has looked good the last couple games, but i mean Chris Rix could throw on Idaho State or Tulsa. Jacory Harris has been all over ESPN the last couple weeks, and im sick of it. The thing is maybe he deserves it, he has looked quite good. Im not saying hes gonig to be a NFL star, but he could be a college one. He is poised and patient and seems to love the spot light (unless its raining and muddy :). This will be Landry's first real game, and i dont think he is ready nor has the talent to win. Miami is looking to rebound nicely with an emphatic win over a top ten team. They have won 3 of the last 4 games ATS, and are 5-1 as an underdog in their last 6. Dont forget about that 4-1 ATS in their last 5 against non-conference foes. Miami (+7.5)
Just missed the cut... Minnesota, UNC, Vandy, and Tennessee.
If you want a game capped let me know. Also will help with Fantasy Football moves and as always....
GOOD LUCK AND GOOD NIGHT!
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