Friday, September 18, 2009

It's a Festivus Miracle!


Hoping for a Big Saturday this week, and there are some nice dogs to go with a couple favorites to start the day. Since i have a lot of plays im going to try and keep the write ups short with lots of facts. Follow me to freedom...

ECU @ UNC (-7.5)- After a hard fought win last week the Tar Heels are going to want to air it out quick, and get a big lead of the weaker opponent. ECU is still getting some pitty lines over last years excellent start against some bigger conference foes. Last week even though UNC struggled against a better than expected Uconn team, they did win that game. ECU started off strong but ended up lossing 35-20 on the road vs a rebuilding WVU team. ECU is 1-8 in their last 9 road games ATS, and 3-10 Overall. Pick UNC (-7.5)

Louisville @ Kentucky (-14)- This isnt as much as a play for Kentucky as it is a play against the struggling Cardinals. Though Kentucky did look good in their fist game dominating Miami of Ohio by over 50 points. Louisville is 1-4 ATS their last 5 on the road, and 0-5 ATS overall. Kentucky on the other hand has been on fire going 8-1-1 on ATS in their last 10. Look for these trends to continue. Pick Kentucky (-14)

Toledo @ Ohio State (-20)-
Not much of a write up here, but Toledo lostby three touchdowns at Purdue just two weeks and i would say the Buckeyes are much better:). I know Toledo played a solid game last week, but so did Ohio State. I dont think there will be any hangover involved, just an ass whooping. Ohio State is 5-1 ATS their last 6, with Toledo going 1-4 ATS vs Big Ten Foes. Pick (Ohio State -20)

Tulsa (+17.5) @ Oklahoma-
I dont have as many facts to back this up, but i do like this game a lot. Tulsa has a very high powered offense, and i do believe they can move the ball on Oklahoma'a defense. Oklahoma is still also without Sam Bradford, and their young qb is still learning how to play at this level and Tulsa is much better than Idaho St. Look for a high scoring shootout type game. Pick (Tulsa +17.5)

Michigan State @ Notre Dame (-10)-
Even at 1-1 Notre Dame has really impressed me so far this year with its offesne. Trust me, i love to hate Charlie Weiss and the Irish but thats a pretty good offense they are throwing out. Michigan was unable to stop Claussen and company the whole game and i think Micighan State will have the same problem. Weiss and the Irish will be playing for his job today, and the respect of the county. As much as i hate to say this... Pick (Notre Dame -10)

Utah (+5) @ Oregon-
Im pretty confused about this line because Utah has proved time and time again they can beat big conferences...thats right SEC. Utah has also won about a billion games in a row, and they are 25-6 in their last 31 has road dogs. Oregon on the other hand has been terrible since day 1, and they have lost their best player for the year. They barely beat a terrible Purdue at home last week, and Utah will be amped for this contest. Look for Utah to be in it till the end, and maybe pull this thing out. Pick (Utah +5)

Cincinatti @ Oregon St (+1)-
I think this could be the game of the week with these high powered offenses going at it. I understand that Cinci won 70 -3 last week, and they beat Rutgers who everyone thought was going to be great, but im not convinced. This team lost a lot of starters, and Oregon State can move the ball with the best of them. Look for my boy Jacquizz Rodgers to run wild in this thriller. Pick (Oregon State +1)

FSU (+8) @ BYU -
First off this is not just me being bias, i do have reasons for my insanity. First off i hate going with the public, HATE IT. This line has moved towards BYU, and thats a good thing for FSU backers. Secondly BYU is 3-7 in there last 10 Against the Spread, while FSU is 6-1 ATS following a loss. Bobby Bowden put a huge ass whopping on these guys all week after that Jax St. mess, and they have a lot to prove this week. Jimbo Fisher and Micken "the greatest" Andrews will have their sides pumped up and ready to go. Pick (FSU +8)

Texas Tech (+17.5) @ Texas-
Ther is one major reason why im liking Texas Tech this week, too many fucking points. This Texas Tech offense has been amazing too start the year once again, if Graham Harrell is a "system" quarterback then it shouldnt matter who the quarterback is as long as he can throw the ball. Taylor Potts has stepped in very nicely for the Red Raiders, and i think he will have a solid game. Texas has also not covered in 3 straight games, and i like 17+ points in the in state rivalry. Pick (Texas Tech (+17.5)

GOOD LUCK AND GOOD NIGHT!!!
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