Fresh Start Plan
Been pretty cold the last couple weeks, and i have done some re thinking of strategies. I think i have finally figured out how to be more consistent, and of course pick more winners. Im going to be looking at more trends, and using more information to make my picks. I will also be trying to spend some more time on these picks, and make sure im only posting games i love! I will also be using units, and will keep track of all my plays. If anyone has any comments please let me know, i can always use the help of some friends!So here is to a fresh start, and here's to a great year!
New Orleans Hornets @ New York Knicks (+2.5) WINNER
This game took a while to post a line, but when they did post it was very excited. When i looked at this game early on i figured it would be around a 4 or 5 point spread, but favoring the Knicks. The Hornets are not the same team they used to be, and dont have that many weapons. They have looked awful so far this season, and even though they have played tough teams i believe its just a sign of things. They are 1-7 in their last 8 games ats, and are only 1-4 ats as a road favorite. The Knicks havent fared well to start the season either, but they have proven they can throw out a consistent offense every single night. They have won the last two games head to head vs the Hornets, and they are much improved this year. They are 4-1 ats in their last 5 following a loss, and are coming off a game in which they scored over 120 points. The Hornets are on a back to back on the road, and are ready to get home.
Knicks (+2.5) 1 Unit
Houston Rockets @ Utah Jazz (-7.5)- LOSER
This will be my NBA Pick of the Day as the Jazz will continue their dominance on their home court. This is pretty much the same Jazz team from a couple years ago where if you remember they won by 10+ everytime they were at home. The Rockets are a shell of what they used to be, and the only reason they won the game the other night with Portland is because Ariza went crazy. Aaron Brooks will not be able to guard Deron Williams, and he should have a HUGE game. The only way the Rockets cover this spread is if they shoot over 50% from deep, and that will not happen. The Rockets are 1-4 ats in their last 5 as a road dog, and 1-4 ats in their last 5 vs a team with a winning record. The Jazz now have a healthy Boozer and should now compete in the west! They are 8-3 in their last 11 ats as a favorite, and 7-3 at home! They have also had a couple days rest which is always nice at the start of the season.
Jazz (-7.5) 2 Units
Memphis Grizzlies @ Sacramento Kings (-1) WINNER
You might say this is just a homer pick because of Kevin Martin, but its not. One trend that im really going to focus on this year is back to back games especially ones like this. The Grizzlies played in a high scoring, hard fought game last night, and then had to fly to Sacramento to play tonight! Now it might not seem like much, but that is hard for an NBA team to do. The Kings were off yesterday, and are playing their first home game at ARCO after a rough road trip. The Kings have always played way better at home, and Kevin is ready to put the Kings on the board. I also think A.I. will really mess up the flow of the Grizzlies, and do more harm than good.
Kings (-1) 1 Unit
Atlanta Falcons @ New Orleans Saints (-12) WINENR
I dont have a lot of evidence for this pick except i think this will be a lot closer than people think it will be. The Falcons always play the Saints tough, and only lost last year on the road by 4 points. The Saints offense is great, and the defense is much improved but this is still a big game. The Falcons will try and pound the ball and keep it low socring. The Falcons will also try and pressure Brees, and try to force the Saints to run the ball. It will all be about slowing down the game, and making the Saints play there game. The Falcons are 8-1 ATS following a loss, and will look to win this one. The Falcons arent worried about covering, they will want to win this game. I wouldnt be suprised if this one is decided in the last couple minutes.
Falcons (+12) 1.5 Units
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